Many QSR chains starting to show signs of weakness

 Sonic drive in restaurants
May 10, 2009
As the unemployment rate in the United States continues to rise, hitting 8.9 percent in April, quick-service chains that have so far battled successfully against the recession may find their good fortunes are running out.

Analysts last week proffered that a combination of still-rising unemployment and a decrease in the number of consumers left to trade down from higher-priced restaurants and provide QSRs with incremental sales gains could lead to softness in the months ahead.

With the exception of McDonald’s, which on Friday posted a 6.1-percent increase in U.S. same-store sales for April, chains including Burger King, Wendy’s, Carl’s Jr. and Sonic have all reported slowed sales. Same-store sales for those chains were either modestly positive or dipped into negative territory.

“We attribute this sequential softening of QSR sales to rising unemployment and to a moderation in consumer trade-down, assuming that consumers inclined to trade down to QSR have probably already done so,” analyst Joe Buckley at Bank of America-Merrill Lynch said in a Friday research report.

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